15* graded play on the New York Islanders as they take on Montreal in NHL action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Islanders will win this match.Islanders have been miserable money burning bets losers of 10 of their last 11 games, but the projections clearly show that this is a game they will win. They are off a 4-2 home loss to the Rangers and are 16-8 against the money line (+9.6 Units) in home games off a home loss over the last 3 seasons. Montreal is off a solid 4-0 win, but head coach Jacques Martin is a weak 16-25 against the money line (-19.8 Units) off a home win where they shut out their opponent in all games he has coached since 1996. Moreover, their home shutout win was yesterday and they had to travel for this game while the Islanders have been enjoying two days of rest.  

15* graded play on Rider as they host University of Pennsylvania set to start at 7:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Rider will win this game by four or more points. Rider is winless going 0-3, but it has been against strong competition. Penn held it’s own against Temple losing the game, but covering the spread. The matchups clearly favor Rider in this game and they are hungry to get that first win. This game is part of the Philly Hoop Group Classic that includes six teams. The other four teams are Pittsburgh, La Salle, James Madison, and Robert Morris. Rider’s last game was a loss against Drexel in the ESPN tip off Marathon that began at 6 AM ET. I don’t take much away from that gam,e or the loss given the horrific time of day that the game was scheduled. The Quakers guard Zack Rosen is off to a fine start and was named Co IVY League Player of the Week with his 26 points in their first game over Maryland-Baltimore. Rider is far better defensive team and will contain Rosen consistently in this game. The sim also shows a high probability that Rider will shoot between 38 and 45% of their three point attempts. In past games, Penn is just 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) when their opponents make 38% to 45% of their 3 pointers in a game since 1997. Take Rider.

15* graded play on Iona as they take on Purdue set to start at 1:00 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that Iona will lose this game by three or fewer points and given the skinny line has an excellent opportunity to defeat Purdue straight up. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 65-29 ATS for 69% winners since 2005. Play against neutral court teams that are good defensive teams from last season that allowed 64 or less points per game and after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in two straight games. This is Iona’s first game and one that is taking place in the Puerto Rico tournament. They have had tons of time to prepare for Purdue and the Boilermakers are coming off a not so impressive 67-65 win over High Point. The biggest question for Purdue is whether Robbie Hummel is back to 100% athletically. His misfortune is well documented in having two severe knee injuries ending his last two seasons. Last year he had elite players to go to in E’Twaun Moore and JaJuan Johnson and his supporting cast is still highly suspect entering this season. Hubble did have tow excellent games to start this season averaging 19.5 PPG, but now they are playing the first ‘legitimate’ opponent in Iona. Purdue will have trouble defending Iona’s Michael Glover, who had 21 double-doubles and averaged 18.4 PPG and 10.1 RPG last season. He could easily emerge as an MVP Tournament candidate with a strong performance and win today. Take Iona.

15* graded play on the Denver Broncos and a 3* graded play using the Money Line as they take on the New York Jets set to start at 8:20 PM ET. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Broncos will lose this game by fewer than six points and has a reasonable opportunity to win the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 29-8 ATS for 78% winners since 2005. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points and is a team winning between 51% to 60% of their games and now playing a losing team and with the game taking place in the second half of the season. Of the 37 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 15 of them or 42%, have covered the spread by seven or more points. This system has gone 16-3 ATS for 84% winners spanning the past three seasons. Here is a second system that has gone 37-13 ATS for 74% winners since 1983. Play on dogs or pick that are poor passing teams averaging 5.3 to 5.9 passing yards per attempt and now facing an average passing defense allowing 5.9 to 6.7 passing yards per attempt and after 8 or more regular season games have been played and after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game. Although the criteria specific and bit complex, this combination of game factors has stood the test of 28 seasons and the evolution of the gem. These type os systems sever to under score the simulator projections and grading for the game. Jets are coming off a humiliating ‘reality check’ loss to the Patriots and now have had just four days to prepare for a completely new and vastly different style of NFL offense. This new option scheme has had zero turnovers in their past two games, while Sanchez and company continue to be turnover prone. A player to watch is Broncos LB Von Miller, who is arguably the best rookie defender this season. Denver will use a 3-3-5 look and then Miller can move into the ‘A’ gap or move to the perimeter and come from Sanchez’s blind side. I believe the Jets offensive line will be inconsistent tonight in pass protection and will give the Broncos defense opportunities to ‘get off the field’ and create turnovers. Much ahs been stated about Tebow’s two completions last week. They won and this Broncos team has built a ton a trust and chemistry in his field leadership. That, in my opinion, is only going to get better. Take the Broncos.